New Poll Shows Most Voters Believe Republicans Will Retake House, Senate

New Poll Shows Most Voters Believe Republicans Will Retake House, Senate
Voters wait to cast their midterm election ballots at Burton Barr Library, a polling station in Phoenix, Ariz., on Nov. 6, 2018. (Nicole Neri/Reuters)
Jack Phillips
11/1/2022
Updated:
11/1/2022
0:00

A new poll has found that a slim majority of voters believe Republicans will take back both the House and Senate during next week’s midterm elections.

A Trafalgar Group poll (pdf) found that 80.5 percent of voters believe the GOP will take at least one chamber of Congress, while 50.2 percent believe Republicans will win back both the House and Senate.

About 30.3 percent say that Democrats and Republicans will split both houses of Congress. Just 19.5 percent of respondents said Democrats would keep both chambers, Trafalgar found.

Among Democrats, only 12 percent believed that Republicans would win back both the Senate and House. About 47 percent of Democrats said that Republicans would win control of one house of Congress and Democrats would maintain control of the other, while 41 percent believe that Democrats would keep control of both chambers.

Over 84 percent of Republican respondents told Trafalgar that the GOP would take back the House and Senate, while only 14 percent said the GOP would take back one chamber. About 1 percent of Republicans said Democrats would maintain control of both chambers, it found.

About 52 percent of independents said Republicans would take both chambers back, 31 percent said both parties would split, and about 16 percent said Democrats would keep both houses, the poll revealed.

In a worrying sign for President Joe Biden’s administration, some 75 percent of poll respondents said Biden and Democrats haven’t made a strong enough case for why Democrats should earn voters’ support during the midterms.

“The American people are wise, pragmatic, and understand what needs to be done to get the nation back on track, despite the fact that so many elected officials in Washington, D.C., do not,” said Mark Meckler, the head of the conservative Convention of States. Trafalgar conducted the poll for the group.

Meckler noted that ahead of the midterms, “our previous polling shows that Republicans have also failed to make a strong enough case to voters, and thus should be mindful that—if they succeed—the public has high expectations for them to fulfill campaign promises and deliver solutions.”

Trafalgar’s poll of 1,000 likely voters was carried out across the United States between Oct. 25 and Oct. 30 with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

Republicans need to gain a net five seats in order to retake the House, which many analysts say is a likely scenario. However, the GOP is defending 21 of the 35 Senate seats up for grabs during next week’s election.

The head of the Republican Senate campaign fundraising arm, Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.), again proclaimed on Sunday that his party will secure at least 52 seats, giving the GOP a majority in the upper chamber.

While touting Republican Senate candidates, Scott told CNN that “Herschel Walker will win in Georgia, we’re going to keep all 21 of ours. [Mehmet] Oz is going to win against [John] Fetterman in Pennsylvania. Adam Laxalt will win in Nevada.”

Americans, he said, “don’t like high inflation. They don’t like gas prices, food prices up. They don’t like it. The public doesn’t like an open border. They don’t like high crime. And that’s what the Democrats are known for.”

Jack Phillips is a breaking news reporter with 15 years experience who started as a local New York City reporter. Having joined The Epoch Times' news team in 2009, Jack was born and raised near Modesto in California's Central Valley. Follow him on X: https://twitter.com/jackphillips5
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